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January 2, 2008

Domestic U.S. System Wide Airfare Increases 2007 - Year in Review

Filed under: Airfare Increases — Rick Seaney @ 11:59 pm

I have been closely analyzing airfares for over 5 years and 2007 was by far the most active year for airline system wide airfare increase attempts in this time frame.

2006 had previously held the record with approximately a dozen attempted airfare increases — which for the most part were “successful” (assuming you are an airline and not a a passenger …). The highest airline ticket prices FareCompare.com has tracked in our 42+ months of daily price history occurred previously in the summer of 2006.

The end of 2007 saw airline ticket prices crest slightly over those summer 2006 highs and 2007 saw a whopping 23 attempted airfare increases (including 11 in the last 4 months of 2007) …

Of these 23 attempted airfare increases in 2007, 17 were “successful” - meaning that after an attempted airfare increase by a particular airline, all the legacy airlines matched the increase in subsequent days and substantially maintained the airfare increase for over a week.

The time line for the increases is shown below including the date of attempted increase, the initiating airline, amount of attempted increase and whether or not the increase was “successful”:

  1. 11-Jan-07 - United Airlines, - $10rt - Not Successful
  2. 19-Jan-07 - United Airlines, - $10rt - Not Successful
  3. 01-Feb-07 - Delta Air Lines, - $10rt - Not Successful
  4. 10-Feb-07 - Southwest Airlines, - $10rt - Successful
  5. 22-Mar-07 - Delta Airlines, - $10rt - Successful
  6. 03-May-07 - Continental Airlines, - $10rt - Not Successful
  7. 10-May-07 - Delta Air Lines, - $10rt - Successful
  8. 14-May-07 - Continental Airlines, - $10rt - Successful
  9. 04-Jun-07 - AirTran Airways, - $10rt & $20rt - Successful
  10. 21-Jun-07 - Delta Air Lines, - $10rt - Successful
  11. 29-Jun-07 - United Airlines, - $10rt - Successful
  12. 05-Jul-07 - Southwest Airlines, - $6rt, $10rt & 20rt - Successful
  13. 31-Aug-07 - Southwest Airlines, - $6rt, $10rt & 20rt - Successful
  14. 06-Sep-07 - Delta Air Lines, - $10rt - Successful
  15. 14-Sep-07 - United Airlines, - $6rt - Successful
  16. 12-Oct-07 - American Airlines, - $10rt - Successful
  17. 17-Oct-07 - United Airlines, - $10rt & $20rt - Successful
  18. 26-Oct-07 - Continental Airlines, - $10rt - Successful
  19. 31-Oct-07 - American Airlines, - $20rt - Successful
  20. 08-Nov-07 - United Airlines, - $10rt - Successful
  21. 20-Nov-07 - US Airways, - $10rt - Not Successful
  22. 26-Nov-07 - Delta Air Lines, - $20rt - Not Successful
  23. 20-Dec-07 - United Airlines, - $10rt - Successful

With oil slipping over the $100/barrel mark today and legacy airlines continuing to drastically reduce capacity — consumers should brace themselves for continued airfare hikes in 2008.

For those of us who love to fly on the cheap — the “art of finding a deal” is going to be even more important for 2008 as air travel deals will be fewer and farther between…

1 Comment »

  1. Do you know where I can find information on the total fare increase in the past year? I want to include all of the taxes, fees and surcharges that are raising the total price? For example I was just looking at an airfare of $600 USD but with all of their taxes and fees it was now almost $1200 - almost double. Thank you.

    Comment by Coleen Komo — May 13, 2008 @ 1:47 am

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