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February 19, 2008

Top 11 “Surprises” in a Delta - Northwest Merger

Filed under: Airlines, Mergers — Rick Seaney @ 6:51 pm

I have been closely following the proposed Delta- Northwest merger for the past several weeks and, since it looks like it could happen any moment, I thought I’d share some things to watch for.

Some…”surprising” things.

I actually came up with a total of 11 surprises; let’s count them down together.

    Top 11 Surprises in a Delta Air Lines Northwest Airlines Merger

  1. Airline ticket prices might not be impacted by “this” merger — as much as many think
  2. Bush Administration more “merger favorable” than a possible Democratic regime next year
  3. British Airways and American Airlines possible last minute counter offer could drive up merger price
  4. First airline merger in recent history to get labor support before the merger is announced
  5. Consensus view that Continental and United must merge if this merger is comes to fruition
  6. Delta has a major shareholder block who went with management and didn’t merge with US Airways - and the stock price plummeted - wonder if they are poking the board and management in the ribs
  7. Delta increasing off-peak flights at flight capped JFK — what are they thinking
  8. Pricing and Demand Remains Firm (Higher Airline Tickets, Full Planes) even with economic worries
  9. Open Skies pact between U.S. and E.U. has everyone adding more seats to prepare for battle
  10. Most pundits are speculating smooth sailing through regulators on this deal - only minimal typical merger saber rattling
  11. Oil crests over $100 a barrel - continues to provide the catalyst for airline industry consolidation

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