Continental announced today (following both United and US Airways) that they were changing their frequent flier policy to credit frequent flier accounts with exact flown mileage – instead of decades old standard of 500 mile minimum per flight — I figured it was time to show some estimated stats of the impact or potential impact this has to frequent fliers on the legacy airlines:

My methodology was pretty simple:
- I picked a typical day (in this case Monday 8-Sep-2008) and pulled from our worldwide flights database (licensed from OAG) the number of flights, miles flown and seats for all flights less than 500 miles on the legacy airlines
- I then estimated that those flights would be about 3/4 full (load factors actually are higher recently) and about 1/3 of the passengers per flight belonged to the airlines frequent flier program
- The rest is a simple calculation of “miles lost per day” and then a yearly estimate with a value attached based on miles being worth about 1.5 cents
- The assumptions could obviously change but should be relatively close
- It should be noted these numbers won’t completely reflect many of the domestic capacity cuts that are rolling out in the coming weeks and months
Couple of things that caught my eye in the stats:
- The number of US Airways flights less than 500 miles was surprisingly more than I expected
- If yet to be merged Delta/Northwest follow United, US Airways and Continental the miles/value lost would combined be more than US Airways
Those that live and die by the frequent flier mile especially on short haul routes are losing or about to lose a pretty substantial perk.




























