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When is the Best Time to Buy Summer 2011 Airline Tickets?

March 8, 2011 | Posted in: Airfare News,Fuel Watch,Pricing Activity | 0 comments

Best Time to Buy Summer Airfare

A bit long, but well worth your time — Rick

Oil prices are getting ridiculous again. That means airlines are pulling the parachute rip cord and sailing off to the Land of High Prices (there have been six airfare hikes since January). Oh, and don’t look for any empty middle seats, either – the airlines have perfected the art of capacity cuts.

So, expect sky high airline ticket prices this summer. Prudent passengers are already getting some airfare quotes and I suspect most are not liking what they’re finding – and that’s because airlines are expecting strong summer demand – so why should they discount.

So, the 10 million dollar question is: When should I lock in my summer air travel plans?

Let me see if I can help shed some light.

Right now is a bit too earlier to lock in for airfare for June or July travel. This is because the airlines are still concentrating their activity on April and May departures and haven’t quite gotten around to probing the appetite of early bird shoppers with decent summer deals. I would (and I will) plan on shopping in earnest for those trips in the latter part of March. However, do sign up for the FareCompare Airfare Alerts now, just in case they pull a “Crazy Ivan” on you (feel free to look it up on UrbanDictionary.com).

That said, you should be shopping in earnest now for April/May departures as the short term prospects of fuel prices dipping aren’t looking promising.  I am not suggesting you become a day trader on the oil futures exchange, but it might not hurt to remember what you paid this week for a tank of gas.

When is the Best Time to Buy Summer 2011 Airline Tickets?

Here’s your answer:

  • Start shopping later this month
  • Do not procrastinate by waiting until May

This year, we’ll see the early bird getting the “better bad deal”; the really great deals, unfortunately, will be few and far between.

Why should you listen to my musings on this topic?  At FareCompare we have the luxury of sitting on top of the world’s largest database of current and historical airfare information and get to watch airline ticket pricing machinations for over 500 airlines in real-time, 24/7. Our sole goal when we hit the door each morning is to work on technology to find deals and help you make a better buying decision. That is who we are and that is what we do.

Let me toss out a few tips that will help you save some money on your summer vacations:

  1. Sign up for FareCompare Airfare Alerts: Our real-time alerts are the best way to keep track of what is happening on your favorite route
  2. Consider a connecting flight: As painful as that may sound, nonstops are now garnering a $100+ premium
  3. The best time to shop for airfare is Tuesday at 3pm EST:  Shop Tuesday throuth Thursday. Do deals ever occur on the weekends? Yes; and someone usually wins the lottery, too
  4. Fly the Cheapest Days: These are typically Tuesday, Wednesday or Saturday; if you can’t fly any of these days for both departure and return, at least schedule one of your flights on these days to realize some savings
  5. Split Up Your Family’s Ticket Purchase: When shopping for multiple tickets, airline reservation systems bump everyone up to the next higher price level, if there are not enough seats available to fulfill your entire order. By purchasing one-at-a-time, at least some in your party will snag the cheapest available seats

Final note of caution: Back in the summer of 2008, oil prices hit $145 per barrel and Goldman Sachs came out with a report saying oil was likely to hit $200/barrel. That prompted many to lock in Thanksgiving and Christmas flights; instead oil crashed to $50 per barrel and procrastinators were rewarded with much cheaper seats.

Could this happen again? The honest answer is, no one knows. For now, though, my advice is: be prudent, shop early and you’ll definitely be able to score a deal (even if it is the best of some bad ones).

Domestic Airlines Test 6th Airfare Hike of the Year

March 3, 2011 | Posted in: Airfare News,Pricing Activity | 0 comments

Domestic Airlines Test 6th Airfare Hike of the Year

Here we go again. American Airlines initiated yet another airfare hike this past Monday of $10 roundtrip; apparently the airline was not deterred by the fact that last week’s  $20 airfare hike was ultimately cut in half.  

Meanwhile, Delta matched this latest hike Wednesday morning but upped the stakes by making it a laddered hike of $10, $14 and $20 roundtrip, depending on the route.

And it wasn’t long before United/Continental and US Airways matched the initial $10 roundtrip airfare hike as well.

What does this mean? Well, it’s pretty clear that demand hasn’t softened – at least, not enough to prevent airlines from testing new highs for base domestic ticket prices.

To recap: For those of you keeping score: this is the sixth airfare hike attempt in 2011 – so far, with no matching from low cost airlines. Here is the 2011 Timeline:

  • Jan. 9 – $4 – $10 roundtrip
  • Jan. 17 – $10 roundtrip
  • Feb. 1 – $4 – $10 roundtrip
  • Feb. 18 – $10 roundtrip
  • Feb. 24 – $10 roundtrip (initially $20 roundtrip)
  • Feb. 28 – $10 roundtrip

Find Deals Now: You’ll always find the best deals available at FareCompare.com; see our latest Deals Roundup which includes specials from Southwest, JetBlue, Virgin America and more.

Airfare Price Hikes: Could 2011 Break a Record?

February 25, 2011 | Posted in: Airfare News,Multimedia | 0 comments

Airfare Price Hikes - Could 2011 Break a Record

Did you know we’ve already had five airfare hikes so far this year? That’s more than we had in 2010 (four) and more than in 2009 (three).

Yes, you can still save on airfare – but be prepared to be more flexible than ever. That means the following:

  • Sign up for FareCompare Airfare Alerts and be prepared to fly when you get a good deal
  • Fly during the week – it’ll be lots cheaper than flying on Friday or Sunday  

See me explain more about what’s going on in this Associated Press video report on rising oil prices.


Another Airfare Hike – Summer Vacation Travelers Take Note!

February 24, 2011 | Posted in: Airfare News,Deals,Pricing Activity | 0 comments

Another Airfare Hike - Summer Vacation Travelers Take Note!

When it rains, it pours…and by that I mean, more domestic airfare hikes.

Yesterday afternoon (Thursday, Feb. 23), United/Continental filed a $20 roundtrip fuel surcharge on the bulk of this merging airline’s domestic route system.

Later in the evening, American Airlines matched this by raising their base fares by a similar amount. This is the fifth broad-based hike attempt of 2011; the previous four met with various levels of succcess.

Bottom line: It’s going to be a little harder to find airfare deals this summer, but whenever there are any – we at FareCompare will have them. So do yourself a favor and sign up for our airfare alerts right now. You will be glad you did.

$10 Domestic Airfare Hike Sticks and Another Business Class Hike Attempt

February 22, 2011 | Posted in: Airfare News,Pricing Activity | 0 comments

$10 Airfare Hike and Business Class Hike

Friday’s $10 roundtrip airfare hike attempt initiated by Southwest Airlines (the fourth broad-based domestic hike this year) was quickly matched over the weekend by all domestic airlines.

It also appears that legacy airlines are adamant about raising the domestic price point for business travelers who buy tickets at the last minute or squeeze into the last seats on oversold flights.

Yesterday afternoon (Monday, February 12), American Airlines initiated a hike of $20 to $60 roundtrip on “walk-up” fares – again, the kind of fares last minute business travelers buy with a same-day advance price that can approach $1000 roundtrip. Later that evening, it was matched by United/Continental, and today Delta and US Airways joined in. Note that this is on the heels of last week’s similar airfare hike attempt, that ultimately collapsed.

Interestingly, the pace of recent domestic airfare hikes almost exactly mirrors those which occurred in the same time period of late 2007 and early 2008 – when oil prices leapt into the mid $90’s per barrel. The big difference today, however, is that airline baggage fees and widespread peak travel surcharges hadn’t been a staple in the total amount travelers shelled out for air travel.

We will update with any significant changes if and when they occur.

Your Summer Airfare Just Got More Expensive

February 16, 2011 | Posted in: Airfare News,Pricing Activity | 0 comments

US Airways Airfare Sale Europe

Here’s the latest, and it’s not happy news: On Monday, the FareCompare proprietary airfare processing system noted significant increases in domestic airline ticket prices for both business and leisure passengers.

Business travelers are accustomed to paying a hefty premium for the “luxury” of booking travel at the last minute (inside 14 days of departure) on schedule-friendly nonstop flights while leaving the cheaper seats for leisure travelers who can book earlier.

Monday, Delta initiated a domestic business airfare hike – effective immediately – of between $40 and $120 roundtrip that was widely matched by other legacy airlines in the ensuing 24 hours. This hike on walkup and last minute departures follows on the heels of a similar hike last week on business travelers who typically pay more than $800 round-trip for their tickets.

More importantly for cost-conscious leisure travelers, Monday airlines also began putting “travel date” fences on their cheapest airfare so that discounted seats could only be purchased through mid June, thereby bumping the cheapest summer ticket base prices by as much as $250 roundtrip (see the examples below for New York departures):

On top of these “base” domestic price increases for summer departures, airlines also continue to file “peak travel” surcharges for summer departure dates of between $20 and $60 roundtrip – with the higher amounts on the busiest departure days of the week.

The question for consumers is whether prices will come down in the following months as airlines begin to more actively manage summer inventory – or, on the flip side, might airfare prices get worse?

We are nearing the historical sweet spot for summer travelers looking to score a deal on domestic tickets who shop in earnest about 3-and-a-half months before departure – the time frame when airlines tend to start offering up some cheaper seats in order gauge demand in comparison to their historical booking models.

It is likely that early bird shoppers will be shell-shocked when getting quotes for summer travel so waiting may be their only option. One thing that is always helpful is to sign up for FareCompare Airfare Alerts and if prices on the trips you’re interested come down, we’ll let you know in real time.

Meanwhile, with volatility of jet fuel prices and the reticence of airlines to increase capacity coupled with firming demand, it is not hard to imagine a summer of some the highest airline ticket prices in years.

We’ll keep you updated.

American Airlines Launches New Hike, Plus United/Continental Add Fuel Surcharges

February 1, 2011 | Posted in: Airfare News | 0 comments

Third Airfare Hike of 2011 Plus New Surcharges

UPDATE 1: Wednesday February 2, 2011 3:50pm CST

In a flurry of activity over the past 18 hours, several airlines have matched the American-initiated domestic airfare hike of $4 to $10 roundtrip, including Continental, Delta, United, US Airways, JetBlue, Alaska, AirTran, Air Canada and WestJet. Only Southwest and Frontier are still sitting on the sidelines.

United/Continental – as part of their matching of the American hike – did drop their $6 roundtrip fuel surcharge – in what appears to be related to the domestic airlines’ motto of “never be a dollar more or less than your competitor unless you have a scheduling advantage”  – fostered by consumers’ inclination to comparison shop.

ORIGINAL POST: Tuesday February 1, 2011 3:00pm CST

What a day it’s been; in the last 24 hours, the FareCompare proprietary airfare analysis engine detected significant fare and fuel surcharge hike activity, and when I say “significant”, I mean from several domestic U.S. airlines.

Background: This activity coincided with Brent crude prices hitting a two year high of $100/barrel  

What happened: Late yesterday evening (Jan,. 31), some of the airlines raised their prices in two different ways: 

  • American initiated an airfare hike between $4 and $10 roundtrip on the bulk of their domestic route system 
  • United/Continental cautiously added a fuel surcharge of $6 roundtrip to a significant number of routes, being careful to tiptoe around the routes of low cost airlines and the cheapest of sale fares.

Some of the other airlines have joined in, while Southwest, AirTran and Frontier are just watching – for the moment, anyway.

See more about this in my detailed analysis, “Third Airfare Hike of 2011 Begins – Plus, Fuel Surcharges Resurface“.

Rick Seaney on Good Morning Texas – Oil, Airline Fees and Super Bowl Airfare

January 27, 2011 | Posted in: Airfare News,Destinations,Multimedia | 0 comments

Rick Seaney GMT Airfare Super Bowl

I appeared on WFAA’s Good Morning Texas today and gave them some analysis of current oil prices, and what it means for airfare (hint: see my previous posts about recent airfare hikes).

I also talked about my predictions for possible new airline fees - like a fee for holding an infant on our lap! Plus, some Super Bowl airfare stories to go along with what I’ve seen happening to prices for hotels and rental cars.

Makes you wonder if the “D” in Big D stands for “dear” and I don’t mean as in “sweetheart”.

See for yourself in the video, below:

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